Mississippi Scratch Offs

Mississippi started offering scratch off lottery tickets around the beginning of 2020.

Their website doesn't publish remaining prices for all prize tiers. Only the ~5-6 top prize tiers are published. We can use that data to estimate the numbers for the lower tiers.

The score calculation is a little different for Mississippi compared to other states. Since they don't publish remaining prizes for all tiers, we have lump all low-tier prizes together. That's why the lowest tier prizes for Mississippi are shown as "< $XX". It's the estimated total for all tickets under the lowest reported prize tier. For a $1 ticket, the lowest reported prize tier might be $26. So we estimate the number of tickets for all prizes less than $26. That might be free tickets, $2, $5, $10, and $20. We label all those as "< $26".

The most important estimation for this calculation, the estimation that every other number is based on, is the expected value of the game. We chose 70% since that is about the average expected value we've seen for all scratch offs for other states. We then adjust the score based on the proportion of grand prizes remaining to the number of other prize tiers remaining.

You can visit the Mississippi Lottery website and double check any of the numbers you see here. They update the number of remaining prizes every week.

Other Ways To Beat Scratchoffs

There are other ways to improve your odds.

Read any of the following articles for simple ways to increase your winnings.

  • Keep buying from the same pack until you scratch a winner.
  • Stop buying from a pack after a big win has been claimed.

This site is shutting down soon. I don't have the time to maintain it or provide support, and it's costing too much money each month to run the servers. I have a friend who is considering taking over. If you want to see the site maintained, you can try talking them into it. Email support@scratchoff-odds.com and I'll forward them your message.

If you're looking for an alternative to this site, a web search will provide a few options on the first page of results. If you prefer this site over the alternatives, I'd be interested in hearing why so I can know what I did right.

If you're a data scientist and want a historical database of scratchoff data as reported by state websites, send me a link to some of the work you've done - your Github or whatever. You might be able to find some interesting anomalys and perhaps even discover possible fraud or exploitable patterns. (If you do, I want a cut.)

It's been fun. Good luck out there!

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