$5,000,000 Ultimate #2455 | 🏆83 help_outline

This site is shutting down soon. I don't have the time to maintain it or provide support, and it's costing too much money each month to run the servers. I have a friend who is considering taking over. If you want to see the site maintained, you can try talking them into it. Email support@scratchoff-odds.com and I'll forward them your message.

If you're looking for an alternative to this site, a web search will provide a few options on the first page of results. If you prefer this site over the alternatives, I'd be interested in hearing why so I can know what I did right.

If you're a data scientist and want a historical database of scratchoff data as reported by state websites, send me a link to some of the work you've done - your Github or whatever. You might be able to find some interesting anomalys and perhaps even discover possible fraud or exploitable patterns. (If you do, I want a cut.)

It's been fun. Good luck out there!

Analysis

Last Updated: Apr 17, 2024

$5,000,000 Ultimate has a score of 83 making it a better than average scratchoff.

There are 4,434,718 tickets remaining. At $50 per ticket, it would cost $221,735,900 to buy all remaining tickets. According to the latest reports from the Texas lottery website, there are $184,209,550 in remaining prizes.

The value of the remaining prizes is below the cost of the remaining tickets by -$37,526,350. With 4,434,718 tickets remaining, that's an average of -$8.46 per ticket.

An average of 9,271 tickets have been claimed each day between Apr 12, 2024 and Apr 19, 2024. The largest prize claimed in that time period was $10,000.

We've been tracking this game since Jan 2, 2023 and we have not seen any grand prizes claimed since that date. 5,802,799 tickets have been sold since Jan 2, 2023. With 4 total grand prizes in the game and 10,237,540 total tickets to be printed, it's expected that there will be 1 grand prize sold every 2,559,385 tickets.
Ticket Price:$50.00
Ticket Value:$41.54
Ticket Profit:-$8.46
Odds of Winning: 1 in 3.64
Number Tickets Printed:10,237,540
Number Tickets Remain:4,434,719
Percent Tickets Remain:43.32%
Initial Expected Value:78.00%
Expected Value:83.08%

Prizes

$5,000,000

Remaining:4
Claimed:0
Percent Remaining: 100.00%

$10,000

Remaining:120
Claimed:138
Percent Remaining: 46.51%

$1,000

Remaining:4,968
Claimed:6,189
Percent Remaining: 44.53%

$500

Remaining:88,328
Claimed:116,560
Percent Remaining: 43.11%

$200

Remaining:126,057
Claimed:165,598
Percent Remaining: 43.22%

$150

Remaining:221,276
Claimed:290,601
Percent Remaining: 43.23%

$100

Remaining:332,406
Claimed:435,432
Percent Remaining: 43.29%

$50

Remaining:444,683
Claimed:579,026
Percent Remaining: 43.44%

$0

Remaining:3,216,877
Claimed:4,209,277
Percent Remaining: 43.32%